4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,473 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,751
Tax + insurance
−$557
HOA
−$60
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$506
Net cashflow
$-466/mo
Annual
$-5,594/yr
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.98%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$93,506
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $334k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-466 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (20.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (27.9% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Potranco El (math 50% / reading 51%, grade D+, #833 of 4,322 statewide, top 20%, 847 students, 47% FRL); Medina Valley H S (math 34% / reading 55%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,147 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 697 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 102 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Medina County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DTD52QBYMAW73H
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29