1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
650 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,662/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$387
HOA
−$28
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$559
Net cashflow
$-541/mo
Annual
$-6,490/yr
Cap rate
4.77%
Cash-on-cash
-5.45%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-541 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $329k (22.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (37.4% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (37.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#60 in CT, #3,626 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Greenwich School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #12 of 153 in CT (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: International School At Dundee (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A, #22 of 553 statewide, top 4%, 341 students, 8% FRL); Eastern Middle School (math 75% / reading 81%, grade A+, #2 of 175 statewide, top 1%, 784 students, 6% FRL); Greenwich High School (math 59% / reading 78%, grade B, #23 of 194 statewide, top 12%, 2,668 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $340k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.6% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DTHM21EJSB3FY0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29