5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,860 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$756
Net cashflow
$1,033/mo
Annual
$12,392/yr
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.75%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $516/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#37 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #6 of 55 in WV (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shepherdstown Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #49 of 377 statewide, top 16%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Shepherdstown Middle School (math 25% / reading 52%, grade F, #23 of 109 statewide, top 21%, 331 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 30% / reading 62%, grade D-, #9 of 110 statewide, top 7%, 1,444 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1,162 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.1% in Shepherdstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29