4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,299 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$851/mo
Annual
$10,208/yr
Cap rate
35.54%
Cash-on-cash
104.47%
DSCR
5.65
1% rule
4.04%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#124 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
Tahlequah (town): math 27% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #109 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Greenwood Es (math 26% / reading 21%, grade F, #407 of 845 statewide, top 48%, 503 students, 0% FRL); Tahlequah Ms (math 28% / reading 25%, grade F, #77 of 345 statewide, top 22%, 676 students, 0% FRL); Tahlequah Hs (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #122 of 447 statewide, top 27%, 1,300 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 35.5% vs local median 4.3% in Tahlequah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DV3B8Z2DGB301N
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29