2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,327 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,237/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$484
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$470
Net cashflow
$-264/mo
Annual
$-3,169/yr
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.84%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-264 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (15.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (24.2% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $224k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in MI, #1,020 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D+.
Royal Oak Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #89 of 540 in MI (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Keller Elementary (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 440 students, 23% FRL); Royal Oak Middle School (math 35% / reading 56%, grade D+, #161 of 493 statewide, top 33%, 1,060 students, 28% FRL); Royal Oak High School (math 49% / reading 75%, grade B-, #58 of 713 statewide, top 9%, 1,341 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.7% in Royal Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DV5SY0A7S3S490
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29