1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
741 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,213/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$903
HOA
−$618
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$675
Net cashflow
$-163/mo
Annual
$-1,954/yr
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.02%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (12.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#18 in FL, #426 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Treasure Island Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 399 students, 59% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 648 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $225k implies a 298% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,213/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29