3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,673 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 361 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,823/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,489
Tax + insurance
−$473
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$268/mo
Annual
$3,210/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$79,510
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $350k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (19.3% below list).
It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in FL, #3,003 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Emma E. Booker Elementary School (math 35% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Booker Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 950 students, 76% FRL); Booker High School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,309 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 42% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sarasota average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.1%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in Desoto Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DVC21JB1XERMPQ
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29