2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,957/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$345
HOA
−$390
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$-343/mo
Annual
$-4,114/yr
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.68%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (27.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (11.1% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in OH, #1,779 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Kings Local (suburban): math 76% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #61 of 656 in OH (top 9%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Kings Mills Elementary School (math 81% / reading 73%, grade A, #221 of 1,584 statewide, top 16%, 532 students, 9% FRL); Kings Junior High School (math 73% / reading 77%, grade A, #83 of 654 statewide, top 13%, 714 students, 15% FRL); Kings High School (math 67% / reading 81%, grade B+, #83 of 781 statewide, top 11%, 1,435 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $168k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.6% in Landen — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DVJBSJ0GJ8E0SF
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29