5 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,560 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,512
Tax + insurance
−$824
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$-729/mo
Annual
$-8,744/yr
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.52%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$134,120
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $479k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-729 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $350k (26.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (31.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($472k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#509 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Stillwater Central School District (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #238 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
18 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $247k; list at $479k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DXVSAY10H9XH7M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29