4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,178 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$264
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-471/mo
Annual
$-5,647/yr
Cap rate
4.58%
Cash-on-cash
-6.11%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-471 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (25.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (41.5% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (41.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 53% / reading 72%, grade B, #51 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 505 students, 27% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 45% / reading 77%, grade B+, #9 of 257 statewide, top 3%, 1,493 students, 22% FRL); James Clemens High School (math 50% / reading 53%, grade D+, #14 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 2,149 students, 21% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DYGRQ41X1Y79R0
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29