2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,247 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,346/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$330
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$-727/mo
Annual
$-8,718/yr
Cap rate
2.14%
Cash-on-cash
-14.83%
DSCR
0.34
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-727 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (61.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (35.9% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (61.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sleepy Hollow El (math 72% / reading 66%, grade A-, #168 of 4,322 statewide, top 4%, 517 students, 31% FRL); Bonham Middle (math 61% / reading 49%, grade B-, #248 of 1,662 statewide, top 15%, 867 students, 37% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 58% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amarillo ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
31 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 61% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-DZATZH01N24DGQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29