3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,980 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$750
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$13/mo
Annual
$158/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.39%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$40,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($158/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (0.6% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($989 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Edgewood ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #812 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stafford El (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 266 students, 92% FRL); Memorial H S (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 872 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 24% district-wide (68 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $143k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DZRG3M0D9FYQNG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29