1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Condo
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,087
Tax + insurance
−$663
HOA
−$1,139
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$641
Net cashflow
$-1,477/mo
Annual
$-17,721/yr
Cap rate
1.84%
Cash-on-cash
-15.90%
DSCR
0.29
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$111,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $398k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $349k (12.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $305k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $305k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in NY, #1,966 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Great Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 86% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #30 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lakeville Elementary School (math 94% / reading 94%, grade A+, #16 of 2,108 statewide, top 1%, 762 students, 19% FRL); Great Neck South Middle School (math 79% / reading 81%, grade A+, #28 of 729 statewide, top 4%, 861 students, 23% FRL); Great Neck South High School (math 100% / reading 92%, grade A+, #71 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,262 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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