7 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$394/mo
Annual
$4,726/yr
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.13%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#349 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Corunna Public Schools (town): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #330 of 540 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elsa Meyer Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 337 students, 60% FRL); Corunna Middle School (math 18% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 493 statewide, top 80%, 452 students, 58% FRL); Corunna High School (math 25% / reading 56%, grade F, #297 of 713 statewide, top 42%, 666 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Shiawassee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shiawassee County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
16 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.3% in Corunna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E06N90E3B6ZS8E
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29