2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
968 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$364
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$182
Net cashflow
$186/mo
Annual
$2,228/yr
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.45%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$19,460
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($867 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#420 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Taylor (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #59 of 73 in FL (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $70k implies a 581% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E07XSC3DQME4AF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29