3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,394/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$28
HOA
−$460
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$430/mo
Annual
$5,157/yr
Cap rate
21.03%
Cash-on-cash
52.62%
DSCR
3.34
1% rule
3.98%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in OR, #2,703 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Klamath Falls City Schools (town): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #36 of 58 in OR (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 493 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 536% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.0% vs local median 3.4% in Klamath Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0BTEFEVRV3C6Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29