3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,772 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,354/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$91/mo
Annual
$1,090/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.43%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Buffalo Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #49 of 377 statewide, top 16%, 407 students, 0% FRL); Buffalo Middle School (math 43% / reading 49%, grade D+, #8 of 109 statewide, top 6%, 252 students, 0% FRL); Spring Valley High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 910 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $160k implies a 392% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0GKX5A6823JAN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29