3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,129 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$598
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-812/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$31,945
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-812/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#169 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0J2EGDAN0PMVT
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29