3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Other
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$212
Tax + insurance
−$36
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$503/mo
Annual
$6,040/yr
Cap rate
21.21%
Cash-on-cash
53.27%
DSCR
3.37
1% rule
2.35%
Cash to close
$11,340
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($280 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 45/100 on livability (#964 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Potosi R-III (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #53 of 324 in MO (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
Washington County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0MHMJFX1NAAQH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29