4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,768 sqft ·
Built 1966
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$694
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$700
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-15/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$103,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-15/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $370k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $333k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $333k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in IL, #1,055 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Township Hsd 214 (suburban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #103 of 620 in IL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dwight D Eisenhower Elem School (354 students, 0% FRL); Macarthur Middle School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #128 of 665 statewide, top 19%, 492 students, 0% FRL); John Hersey High School (math 56% / reading 63%, grade C+, #20 of 693 statewide, top 3%, 2,026 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $242k; list at $370k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.9% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E16QM02095C47Q
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29