3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,547/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$654
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$325
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-234/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-234/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (3.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kinyon Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,091 of 1,397 statewide, top 79%, 411 students, 82% FRL); Robert J West Middle School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 641 students, 68% FRL); Taylor High School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 1,394 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $62k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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