9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,917 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,476/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,916
Tax + insurance
−$1,137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,200
Net cashflow
$2,222/mo
Annual
$26,669/yr
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.16%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$262,500
Investor read
This is a 9-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $938k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $938k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($909k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $909k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#139 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, commute D+, cost of living D+.
Leominster (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #247 of 302 in MA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $625k; list at $938k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $262k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.2% in Leominster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,476/mo this rent would consume 149% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 1633% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E2JK9997N9W5EE
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29