3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$336
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$517/mo
Annual
$6,205/yr
Cap rate
15.99%
Cash-on-cash
34.63%
DSCR
2.54
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$17,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($442 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#86 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E2PD8FD4Z3BTCJ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29