16 bd · 8.0 ba ·
5,884 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$36,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,430
Tax + insurance
−$2,343
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$7,649
Net cashflow
$16,000/mo
Annual
$192,002/yr
Cap rate
15.95%
Cash-on-cash
34.48%
DSCR
2.53
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$556,889
Investor read
This is a 8 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.99M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16k ($192k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($36k rent vs $1.99M).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.75M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.75M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $213k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $199k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $200k; list at $1.99M implies a 894% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $557k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$342k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $36,422/mo this rent would consume 235% of the median local household income ($186k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-E3MEPF3FYYA12C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29