4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,863/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$700
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$391
Net cashflow
$565/mo
Annual
$6,778/yr
Cap rate
28.96%
Cash-on-cash
80.96%
DSCR
4.60
1% rule
6.23%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Belmont Elementary School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #371 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 814 students, 0% FRL); Goodrich Middle School (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #99 of 128 statewide, top 79%, 877 students, 78% FRL); Lincoln Northeast High School (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #207 of 261 statewide, top 79%, 1,812 students, 62% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lincoln Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 29.0% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E3N0VB303SC3Z2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29