3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,885 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,107/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$24
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$141/mo
Annual
$1,693/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.46%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
South San Antonio ISD (urban): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #804 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 276 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E3T0HPA3P1FBNJ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29