5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,206 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,536/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,093
Tax + insurance
−$826
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,373
Net cashflow
$1,244/mo
Annual
$14,932/yr
Cap rate
8.82%
Cash-on-cash
9.04%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$165,172
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $590k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $415/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $590k).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($519k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $519k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,175 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: cost of living D+, housing D+, crime F.
Pine Bush Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #468 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pine Bush Senior High School (math 92% / reading 67%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 1,615 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 29% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pine Bush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $160k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $365k; list at $590k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bloomingburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-E4K8RMDN35YKBD
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29