2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,550 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,765/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,141
Tax + insurance
−$379
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$791
Net cashflow
$1,455/mo
Annual
$17,456/yr
Cap rate
14.32%
Cash-on-cash
28.66%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$60,900
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $218k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $727/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $218k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 92/100 on livability (#1 in MN, #27 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+.
Rochester Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #152 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: John Marshall Senior High (math 37% / reading 58%, grade D, #162 of 471 statewide, top 35%, 1,573 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 509 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,267 units permitted in Olmsted County in 2024 (915 in 5+ unit buildings).
Olmsted County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $218k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.5% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,765/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 1651% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E4P0N962QJT5G6
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29