36 Lakeshore Ter #15

Fairfield Glade, TN 38558

$165,900C

2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,252 sqft · Built 1973 · Townhouse · Active · 26 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,909/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$870
• Tax + insurance: −$103
• HOA: −$269
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$401
• Net cashflow: $266/mo
• Annual: $3,193/yr
• Cap rate: 8.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.87%
• DSCR: 1.31
• 1% rule: 1.15%
• Cash to close: $46,452

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $166k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#249 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 603 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $95k; list at $166k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.2% in Fairfield Glade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.