3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,069 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,432/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$392
HOA
−$697
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$-400/mo
Annual
$-4,800/yr
Cap rate
4.25%
Cash-on-cash
-7.29%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (24.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $177k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cave Language Academy (411 students, 68% FRL); Hogan Middle (867 students, 85% FRL); Vallejo High (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 1,335 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 62% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.2% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen countertops
— Slight wear visible on the countertops.
Minor: bathroom tiles
— Some tiles show signs of wear, but not severe damage.
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Light wear visible on the cabinets, but still functional and in good condition.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E4T3NK8TBD67EW
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29