3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,416/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,665
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$507
Net cashflow
$-87/mo
Annual
$-1,039/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.17%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$88,902
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $316k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (23.5% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Stonewall Tell Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #435 of 1,228 statewide, top 37%, 638 students, 55% FRL); Sandtown Middle School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,057 students, 57% FRL); Westlake High School (math 27% / reading 5%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,461 students, 43% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,416/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 3748% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E5EHS2AMP5EF0R
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29