3 bd · 0.5 ba ·
1,596 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,282/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-804/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-804/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,350 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Turkeyfoot Valley Area SD (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #473 of 658 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Turkeyfoot Valley Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,518 statewide, top 75%, 150 students, 100% FRL); Turkeyfoot Valley Area Jshs (math 32% / reading 34%, grade F, #325 of 437 statewide, top 75%, 126 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 52% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Turkeyfoot Valley Area SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E5MVBP6X79JWK6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29