2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
820 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,079/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$390
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$-34/mo
Annual
$-408/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-408/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $219k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-E68Y2P1RDYNSMB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29