2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,127 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$215/mo
Annual
$2,576/yr
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.34%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $741 of equity ($615 loan paydown + $126 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#542 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Hominy (town): math 6% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #259 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Horace Mann Es (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #667 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 195 students, 0% FRL); Hominy Ms (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #334 of 345 statewide, top 98%, 118 students, 0% FRL); Hominy Hs (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 154 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $89k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E6G53GADJSRH6D
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29