1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
427 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Condo
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,024/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-391/yr
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.00%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
2.93%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-391/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $30k (13.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $473 of equity ($241 loan paydown + $232 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Peabody Elem. (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 152 students, 98% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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