1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
759 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 313 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,914/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$700
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$-568/mo
Annual
$-6,811/yr
Cap rate
3.13%
Cash-on-cash
-11.30%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-568 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (43.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 313 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (43.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,958 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Columbine Elementary School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #634 of 966 statewide, top 67%, 405 students, 64% FRL); Casey Middle School (math 34% / reading 47%, grade F, #76 of 270 statewide, top 28%, 452 students, 57% FRL); Boulder High School (math 64% / reading 81%, grade B+, #18 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,074 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 16% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 1.6% in Boulder — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 313 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are in good condition but could benefit from a fresh coat of paint.
Minor: Exterior siding
— The siding shows some wear, which could be addressed with a fresh coat of paint or minor repairs.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E6MA56FAT045VG
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29