4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,595 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,191/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,295
Tax + insurance
−$729
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$670
Net cashflow
$-543/mo
Annual
$-6,518/yr
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.32%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$122,515
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $438k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-543 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $359k (18.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $319k (27.1% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $319k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $47k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hampton Cove Elementary (math 60% / reading 77%, grade B+, #32 of 627 statewide, top 5%, 684 students, 9% FRL); Hampton Cove Middle School (math 45% / reading 72%, grade B, #12 of 257 statewide, top 4%, 735 students, 11% FRL); Huntsville High School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D-, #18 of 305 statewide, top 6%, 1,826 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 16% FRL vs 46% district-wide (31 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntsville City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$75k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7E0JX76AX3BK2
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29