3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$642/mo
Annual
$7,710/yr
Cap rate
23.05%
Cash-on-cash
59.83%
DSCR
3.66
1% rule
2.52%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $458 of equity ($346 loan paydown + $112 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 45/100 on livability (#566 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7EP1QDK3450ZW
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29