612 Oriole Rd

Weslaco, TX 78596

$469,000C+

None bd · None ba · 4,080 sqft · Built 2025 · MultiFamily · Active · 603 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,006/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,459
• Tax + insurance: −$782
• HOA: −$50
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,051
• Net cashflow: $664/mo
• Annual: $7,963/yr
• Cap rate: 7.99%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.06%
• DSCR: 1.27
• 1% rule: 1.07%
• Cash to close: $131,320

Investor read

• This is a 1×1bd/1ba + 2×2bd/2ba + 1×3bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $469k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $166/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $469k).
• It's been on market 603 days — a 12% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $413k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $503 of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-3k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 745 students, 87% FRL); Central Middle (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 974 students, 70% FRL); Weslaco H S (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 2,553 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 59% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 919 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $131k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 603 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.