2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 195 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$277
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$247/mo
Annual
$2,968/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.06%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Citrus Grove Elementary School (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B, #634 of 2,144 statewide, top 30%, 843 students, 58% FRL); Deland Middle School (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,074 students, 61% FRL); Deland High School (math 26% / reading 45%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,926 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 662 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $140k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7K95S57B4H7GN
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29