3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$414
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$390
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-883/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.35%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-883/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (5.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (13.6% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $186k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Horrell Hill Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #515 of 597 statewide, top 89%, 562 students, 100% FRL); Lower Richland High (math 5% / reading 64%, grade F, #185 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 1,244 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 328 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $215k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7KKWH92SCA7RG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29