2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$477
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$452/mo
Annual
$5,420/yr
Cap rate
41.42%
Cash-on-cash
125.46%
DSCR
6.58
1% rule
4.58%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#30 in ID, #4,401 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lakeland District (rural): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #34 of 92 in ID (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 524 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 41.4% vs local median 1.3% in Rathdrum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7MRXW708QH9WM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29