4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,247 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 228 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$590/mo
Annual
$7,074/yr
Cap rate
26.50%
Cash-on-cash
72.18%
DSCR
4.21
1% rule
3.01%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#856 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gainesville R-V (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #85 of 324 in MO (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gainesville Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 303 students, 76% FRL); Gainesville High (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 314 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 56% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP.
Ozark County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 3.1% in Gainesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E8AEBN6PM94X09
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29