2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,465/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$203/mo
Annual
$2,441/yr
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.82%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (2.2% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $147k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Northern Lights Elementary (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #857 of 1,041 statewide, top 83%, 491 students, 68% FRL); Superior Middle (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #315 of 383 statewide, top 82%, 903 students, 51% FRL); Superior High (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #182 of 483 statewide, top 38%, 1,306 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.6% in Superior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E8E8GKE3768TJN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29