3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,641 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$423
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$331/mo
Annual
$3,977/yr
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.62%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$22,568
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $81k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($557 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#158 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Simpson County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #90 of 130 in MS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Magee Elementary School (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #251 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Magee Middle School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #123 of 179 statewide, top 69%, 325 students, 99% FRL); Magee High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #184 of 197 statewide, top 94%, 405 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Simpson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.5% in Magee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of significant damage or wear.
Major: exterior siding
— Signs of significant damage or wear.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation and general disrepair.
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible photos of the interior walls/paint, but general disrepair suggests significant issues.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible photos of the HVAC/mechanicals, but general disrepair suggests significant issues.
Major: kitchen and bathrooms
— No visible photos of the kitchen and bathrooms, but general disrepair suggests significant issues.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29