3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,521 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,102/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$628
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-159/yr
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.51%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$33,544
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $315 of equity ($828 loan paydown + $-513 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#496 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Bibb County (rural): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #105 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Brent Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 601 students, 71% FRL); Bibb County High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 471 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bibb County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E8RFWKBQZ8P8KE
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29