4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,784 sqft ·
Built 1921
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$838
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$911
Net cashflow
$569/mo
Annual
$6,826/yr
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.33%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $284/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $385k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in CT, #915 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D.
West Haven School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #121 of 153 in CT (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in West Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,336/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2671% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E90BHGA4A4F1ZQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29