3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,378/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$640/mo
Annual
$7,685/yr
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.45%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#533 in PA, #4,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mars Area SD (rural): math 58% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E9228N40RHZYSS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29