3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,636 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,380/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,673
Tax + insurance
−$438
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$500
Net cashflow
$-230/mo
Annual
$-2,765/yr
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.10%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$89,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $319k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (12.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (25.4% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $238k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Webster Micro Society Magnet School (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #418 of 553 statewide, top 76%, 615 students, 62% FRL); Renzulli Gifted And Talented Academy (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B+, #38 of 175 statewide, top 21%, 119 students, 72% FRL); University High School of Science And Engineering (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 412 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 84% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hartford School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,380/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E99085AJ5KN1TJ
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29