2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$967/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$159/mo
Annual
$1,908/yr
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.82%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#335 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Cordell (town): math 37% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #33 of 270 in OK (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Washita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washita County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.6% in New Cordell — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E9A3GW2DW8DG6P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29